【内容摘要】

In the past forty years the Chinese economy achieved miracle growth and many attributed a significant part of this to China’s favourable labour supply flowing from the “demographic dividend”: a larger share of working age population (WAPS). Currently, this dividend is slipping away and many in China are very concerned. Against this background I set out to examine the contributions of various dimensions of China’s changing WAPS and its impact on economic growth. I show that between 1982-2015 the increase in the WAPS was offset by a decline in the labour force participation rate, resulting in a very limited increase in the quantity of labour supply. I then estimate the association between regional variations in economic growth and changes in factors such as population size, WAPS, migration, education. The results lend little support to the view that increasing WAPS played a major role in China’s economic growth over this period.

【报告人简介】

孟昕，澳大利亚国立大学经济学教授，澳大利亚社会科学院院士，Journal of Labor Economics编辑。孟昕教授的研究涵盖四个主题：一是转型期的中国劳动力市场，二是制度和文化对性别歧视的影响，三是乡城人口流动的经济影响和跨国移民的经济同化，四是重大灾难对经济和行为的影响。孟昕教授曾负责重大研究项目中国乡城流动人口调查（RUMiC），在2008年至2016年间对乡城流动人口进行追踪调查，其中前三轮数据已对外公开。孟昕教授曾获澳大利亚研究委员会（ARC DP、LP共5次）、澳大利亚政府部门、澳大利亚国际开发署、福特基金会和世界银行等多个机构资助。其论文发表在Science、Review of Economic Studies、The Economic Journal、Journal of Economic Perspectives、Journal of Labor Economics、Journal of Development Economics、Journal of Public Economics等顶级期刊。

【欧洲杯外围app_欧洲杯滚球平台_投注|官网信息】

获取欧洲杯外围app_欧洲杯滚球平台_投注|官网信息，请扫描下方二维码加入“IAER Seminar”腾讯QQ群（群号：904 544 292）或微信群，可同时关注高等经济研究院网站：https://iaer.dufe.edu.cn。

撰稿：王杰 审核：胡蓉 单位：高等经济研究院